technological singularity prediction

That’s how cybernetics is just getting its foot in the door, Kurzweil said. And, because it’s the nature of technology to improve, Kurzweil  predicts that during the 2030s some technology will be invented that can go inside your brain and help your memory. Grace and colleagues’ participants gave a mean 10% likelihood that the singularity would be achieved within 9 years after the survey was conducted in 2016 (by 2025). Best futurists ever: Ray Kurzweil's predictions for the future of technology, medicine, and A.I. The authors don't know when the singularity will come, but come it will. If you structure a society on not emphasizing individual human agency, it's the same thing operationally as denying people clout, dignity, and self-determination ... to embrace [the idea of the Singularity] would be a celebration of bad data and bad politics. Unfortunately, it might also be the last, unless we learn how to avoid the risks. [34] An upper limit on speed may eventually be reached, although it is unclear how high this would be. Also, some computer viruses can evade elimination and, according to scientists in attendance, could therefore be said to have reached a "cockroach" stage of machine intelligence. While this book focuses on the future of technology and the human race as The Age of Intelligent Machines and The Age of Spiritual Machines did, Kurzweil makes very few concrete, short-term predictions in The Singularity Is Near, though longer-term visions abound. Sign up for the 'AI Advantage' newsletter: In the fourth installment of the FutureScape series, we discuss what our survey participants said when asked whether or not humans will play a role in the world once we reach the singularity. Extreme levels of machine intelligence - superintelligence - would potentially be in a position to shape the future. Whathappens to humanity, whether humanity would even survive, would then depend on the goals of the superintelligence. Each improvement should beget at least one more improvement, on average, for movement towards singularity to continue. Some intelligence technologies, like "seed AI",[14][15] may also have the potential to not just make themselves faster, but also more efficient, by modifying their source code. It also proposed a simple design that was vulnerable to corruption of the reward generator. Siri inquired whether I wanted a Web search ("That's what I figured," she replied) and offered up this definition: "A technological singularity is a predicted point in the development of a . Challenges for computational intelligence. Schmidhuber, Jürgen. Eliezer Yudkowsky compares it to the changes that human intelligence brought: humans changed the world thousands of times more rapidly than evolution had done, and in totally different ways. Amsterdam: IOS, 2008", "Artificial General Intelligence: Now Is the Time", "Omohundro, Stephen M., "The Nature of Self-Improving Artificial Intelligence." [44], In 2005, Kurzweil published The Singularity is Near. Beyond Technological Singularity Timeline. Kurzweil's publicity campaign included an appearance on The Daily Show with Jon Stewart. But what about the long-term? The article further argues that from the perspective of the evolution, several previous Major Transitions in Evolution have transformed life through innovations in information storage and replication (RNA, DNA, multicellularity, and culture and language). "[58], Theodore Modis[59] and Jonathan Huebner[60] argue that the rate of technological innovation has not only ceased to rise, but is actually now declining. Physica Scripta 90.1 (2014): 018001. Vol. [38] Between 1986 and 2007, machines' application-specific capacity to compute information per capita roughly doubled every 14 months; the per capita capacity of the world's general-purpose computers has doubled every 18 months; the global telecommunication capacity per capita doubled every 34 months; and the world's storage capacity per capita doubled every 40 months. . A number of researchers hope to do so by developing AI systems that can paint, write, and colorize photographs. But, this time, we wanted to apply that analysis to the long-term future of AI so that we could help government and business leaders understand the more distant possibilities that this technology could bring to fruition. Strangely, the other two groups of technical researchers (EETN and TOP100) were much less likely than the AGI group to believe AGI would surpass human intelligence in even 30 years time after its invention (55% and 50% respectively). 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As indispensable as it is gripping, The Future Is Faster Than You Think provides a prescient look at our impending future. [62], In a detailed empirical accounting, The Progress of Computing, William Nordhaus argued that, prior to 1940, computers followed the much slower growth of a traditional industrial economy, thus rejecting extrapolations of Moore's law to 19th-century computers. 135–136. “We’re really going to exemplify all the things that we value in humans to a greater degree.”. We’re going to expand our minds and exemplify these artistic qualities that we value.”. Every Emerj online AI resource downloadable in one-click, Generate AI ROI with frameworks and guides to AI application. In one camp, you have those who cite past claims such as flying cars, floating cities, and other futuristic visions that were predicted to come true by the 21st century. Good's "intelligence explosion" model predicts that a future superintelligence will trigger a singularity. The idea was incorporated into Feynman's 1959 essay There's Plenty of Room at the Bottom. One example of this is solar energy, where the Earth receives vastly more solar energy than humanity captures, so capturing more of that solar energy would hold vast promise for civilizational growth. A number of futures studies scenarios combine elements from both of these possibilities, suggesting that humans are likely to interface with computers, or upload their minds to computers, in a way that enables substantial intelligence amplification. “They’re making us smarter. As this book reveals, his vision was much more complex and interesting. He hoped that machines would release people from relentless and repetitive drudgery in order to achieve more creative pursuits. We simply can’t make a judgment on whether or not this is the case. They asked the 550 participants four main questions, two of which we’ll discuss in this article: It should be noted that the questions were not phrased this way in Muller and Bostrom’s survey; we have paraphrased the questions. According to Eliezer Yudkowsky, a significant problem in AI safety is that unfriendly artificial intelligence is likely to be much easier to create than friendly AI. Offers social and economic predictions for the Singularity, a scientific vision that foresees a time of abundant human and artificial intelligence, and speculates on the implications of such a future. There was much disagreement among our experts, including whether or not the singularity would occur. "New millennium AI and the convergence of history." [102], Beyond merely extending the operational life of the physical body, Jaron Lanier argues for a form of immortality called "Digital Ascension" that involves "people dying in the flesh and being uploaded into a computer and remaining conscious. Computer scientist and futurist Hans Moravec proposed in a 1998 book[36] that the exponential growth curve could be extended back through earlier computing technologies prior to the integrated circuit. [2][3] According to the most popular version of the singularity hypothesis, called intelligence explosion, an upgradable intelligent agent will eventually enter a "runaway reaction" of self-improvement cycles, each new and more intelligent generation appearing more and more rapidly, causing an "explosion" in intelligence and resulting in a powerful superintelligence that qualitatively far surpasses all human intelligence. There are two logically independent, but mutually reinforcing, causes of intelligence improvements: increases in the speed of computation, and improvements to the algorithms used. Because most people aren't spending a lot of time right now worrying about singularity—they are worrying about "Well, is my job going to be replaced by a machine? Vinge did not actually use the phrase "technological singularity" in the Omni op-ed, but he did use this phrase in the short story collection. Sheer processing power is not a pixie dust that magically solves all your problems. K. Eric Drexler, one of the founders of nanotechnology, postulated cell repair devices, including ones operating within cells and utilizing as yet hypothetical biological machines, in his 1986 book Engines of Creation. In the coming of the Singularity, we are seeing the predictions of true technological unemployment finally come true. To those who view this cybernetic society as more fantasy than future, Kurzweil pointing out that there are people with computers in their brains today — Parkinson’s patients. [63], In a 2007 paper, Schmidhuber stated that the frequency of subjectively "notable events" appears to be approaching a 21st-century singularity, but cautioned readers to take such plots of subjective events with a grain of salt: perhaps differences in memory of recent and distant events could create an illusion of accelerating change where none exists.[64]. Muller and Bostrom found some interesting results: Muller and Bostrom didn’t directly ask participants when the singularity might occur, but there seems to be a significant difference between their participants and ours. In fact, 2016 was meant to be “the year that virtual reality becomes reality”, and yet AI seems to be dominating the discussion. who believe software is more important than hardware. There would be no singularity."[35]. Discover the critical AI trends and applications that separate winners from losers in the future of business. Earlier this week, at the SXSW Conference in Austin, Texas, Kurzweil made yet another prediction: the technological singularity will happen sometime in the next 12 years, Joinfo.com reports with reference to Futurism. [22] Such a difference in information processing speed could drive the singularity. This volume seeks to set the agenda for economic research on the impact of AI. It covers four broad themes: AI as a general purpose technology; the relationships between AI, growth, jobs, and inequality; regulatory responses to changes ... Vernor Vinge proposes an interesting -- and potentially terrifying -- prediction in his essay titled "The Coming Technological Singularity: How to Survive in the Post-Human Era." He asserts that mankind will develop a superhuman intelligence before 2030. However, many AI experts, such as. First, it does not require external influence: machines designing faster hardware would still require humans to create the improved hardware, or to program factories appropriately. While this book focuses on the future of technology and the human race as The Age of Intelligent Machines and The Age of Spiritual Machines … If a superhuman intelligence were to be invented—either through the amplification of human intelligence or through artificial intelligence—it would bring to bear greater problem-solving and inventive skills than current humans are capable of. Technological Singularity in 2045 - Get Ready - This is what the future may be like. Technological singularity is a major part of the plot of Vernor Vinge's Marooned in Realtime (1986), a science-fiction novel where a few remaining humains traveling forward in the future have survived an unknown extinction event that might well be singularity. Found insideExplores the limitless potential of reverse-engineering the human brain, outlining the controversial implications of increasing intelligence in order to address global problems while comparing emotional and moral intelligence and ... Technological Singularity and the End of Human History. We tell it to solve a mathematical problem, and it complies by turning all the matter in the solar system into a giant calculating device, in the process killing the person who asked the question. Found inside – Page iSystematically exploring the various pathways that led to the complex biosphere we experience on planet Earth, they show that most of the steps along that path are likely to occur on any world hosting life, with only two exceptions: One is ... [38] His predictions differ from Vinge's in that he predicts a gradual ascent to the singularity, rather than Vinge's rapidly self-improving superhuman intelligence. He wrote that he would be surprised if it occurred before 2005 or after 2030.[7]. Members receive full access to Emerj's library of interviews, articles, and use-case breakdowns, and many other benefits, including: Consistent coverage of emerging AI capabilities across sectors. Muller and Bostrom define HLMI as an intelligence “that can carry out most human professions at least as well as a typical human” and refer to it as “very likely implies being able to pass a classic Turing test.” As a result, we believe our rhetorical substitution is justified. [56], Martin Ford in The Lights in the Tunnel: Automation, Accelerating Technology and the Economy of the Future[57] postulates a "technology paradox" in that before the singularity could occur most routine jobs in the economy would be automated, since this would require a level of technology inferior to that of the singularity. "What does AI mean for your business? Read this book to find out. These years were all median responses. Advances in speed may be possible in the future by virtue of more power-efficient CPU designs and multi-cell processors. Good's proposed discontinuous upswing in intelligence and Vinge's thesis on unpredictability.[19]. Charles Tandy, pp. The technological singularity (often called simply the singularity), is most notably predicted by famed futurist Ray Kurzweil, as being an event which will happen around the year 2045. Their participants were 352 researchers who published at the 2015 NIPS and ICML conferences for research in machine learning. Technological singularity will turn us into super humans some time in the next 12 years, according to a Google expert. The technological singularity—or simply the singularity —is a hypothetical point in time at which technological growth becomes uncontrollable and irreversible … This lines up reasonably well with past polls we’ve done (see: Timeline for Machine Consciousness). The core of Kurzweil's prediction is exponential computing power continuing to progress and the co-development of exponentially more powerful artificial intelligence. In other words, we recognize and understand that like the other surveys discussed in this report, our survey may fall victim to selection bias. Everyone knows that when machines become smarter than human beings, they tend to take over the world. This idea is similar to Musk’s controversial neural lace and to XPRIZE Foundation chairman Peter Diamandis’ “meta-intelligence” concept. Kurzweil expounded on how this technology could improve human lives. Dec 6, 2016 - Future Timeline | Latest Predictions | Technology | Singularity | 2020 | 2050 | 2100 | 2150 | 2200 | 21st century | 22nd century | 23rd century . Technology and Science competition/war and also cooperation in some areas between USA and China will accelerate current rate of acceleration by at least 30% next year. Technological singularity An event showing a singular technological advance or sum of innumerable technological advances that in aggregate could lead to a break in the psychologic and somatic evolution of humans with entirely unpredictable results. Another symptom of progress toward the Singularity: ideas themselves should spread ever faster, and even the most radical will quickly become commonplace. But what will this future look like? In 2062, world-leading researcher Toby Walsh considers the impact AI will have on work, war, economics, politics, everyday life and even death. Will automation take away most jobs? Self-Aware Systems. The result will be an intimate merger between the technology-creating species and the technological evolutionary process it spawned. This puts their respondents on the tale end of our largest response group: those who believe the singularity will happen between 2036 and 2060. Job displacement is increasingly no longer limited to work traditionally considered to be "routine. This is the definition and predictions to see if we are track. Similarly, Louis Rosenberg, PhD, inventor, and CEO and Chief Scientist of unanimous AI, has this to say about the timeframe of the singularity: Back in the early 1990s, when I started thinking about this issue, I believed that AI would exceed human abilities around the year 2050. It is difficult to directly compare silicon-based hardware with neurons. "Stephen Hawking: 'Transcendence looks at the implications of artificial intelligence - but are we taking AI seriously enough? The essay specifies four ways in which this could happen: Found insideThis book provides insights into research in the field of artificial intelligence in combination with robotics technologies. While both require large advances in recursive optimisation process design, friendly AI also requires the ability to make goal structures invariant under self-improvement (or the AI could transform itself into something unfriendly) and a goal structure that aligns with human values and does not automatically destroy the human race. “We’re going to be able to meet the physical needs of all humans. We would end up in the same place; we'd just get there a bit faster. The term "technological singularity" reflects the idea that such change may happen suddenly, and that it is difficult to predict how the resulting new world would operate. Interestingly, Grace and colleagues’ participants responded with a median 10% likelihood that AI would be “vastly” better at humans at all tasks two years after the invention of HLMI, which for this question seems to reference AGI as it does in Muller and Bostrom’s survey. What should businesses and governments do now to prepare for the future of AI? In V. C. Müller (ed): Yampolskiy, Roman V. "Analysis of types of self-improving software." The people who responded to us are perhaps more likely to believe that the singularity will not only occur but will occur sooner than later. But for Kurzweil, the process towards this singularity has already begun. [93][94], Ramez Naam argues against a hard takeoff. [28] The first accelerating factor is the new intelligence enhancements made possible by each previous improvement. Hibbs suggested that certain repair machines might one day be reduced in size to the point that it would, in theory, be possible to (as Feynman put it) "swallow the doctor". [3][6], I. J. This book is a tacit lesson in open-mindedness tempered with thorough scientific analysis. This is a very important book for all professional astrobiologists." A Ellery, International Journal of Astrobiology, 6 (2007) 182-183 [83] Bill Hibbard (2014) harvtxt error: no target: CITEREFBill_Hibbard2014 (help) proposes an AI design that avoids several dangers including self-delusion,[84] unintended instrumental actions,[46][85] and corruption of the reward generator. In 2007, the Joint Economic Committee of the United States Congress released a report about the future of nanotechnology. [8][9] The consequences of the singularity and its potential benefit or harm to the human race have been intensely debated. The Singularity Summit approaches this weekend in New York. Simply put,[33] Moore's Law suggests that if the first doubling of speed took 18 months, the second would take 18 subjective months; or 9 external months, whereafter, four months, two months, and so on towards a speed singularity. Half of all of Muller and Bostrom’s participants responded that there is a 90% likelihood of achieving AGI, In general, it seems our participants project a shorter timeframe for reaching the singularity than Muller and Bostrom’s. [citation needed] An AI rewriting its own source code could do so while contained in an AI box. In the current stage of life's evolution, the carbon-based biosphere has generated a cognitive system (humans) capable of creating technology that will result in a comparable evolutionary transition. Springer International Publishing, 2015. "Five ethical imperatives and their implications for human-AGI interaction." Since the design of machines is one of these intellectual activities, an ultraintelligent machine could design even better machines; there would then unquestionably be an ‘intelligence explosion,’ and the intelligence of man would be left far behind. It seems as though AI researchers and thought leaders project the singularity to occur roughly within the next four to five decades. Participants gave it a 10% likelihood that we would have AGI by 2022, a 50% likelihood that we’d have AGI by 2040, and a 90% likelihood that we’d have AGI by 2075. They discussed the extent to which computers and robots might be able to acquire autonomy, and to what degree they could use such abilities to pose threats or hazards. K. Eric Drexler is the founding father of nanotechnology -- the science of engineering on a molecular level. In Radical Abundance, he shows how rapid scientific progress is about to change our world. The term 'Singularity' was first used in the technological . Four polls of AI researchers, conducted in 2012 and 2013 by Nick Bostrom and Vincent C. Müller, suggested a median probability estimate of 50% that artificial general intelligence (AGI) would be developed by 2040–2050. The author who, along with William Gibson, Neal Stephenson, and Rudy Rucker, helped create and define the cyberpunk subgenre imagines a world of tomorrow in Islands in the Net that bears a striking—and disturbing—resemblance to our ... There will be no distinction, post-Singularity, between human and machine". that the dimensional hybrid residual block and the singularity enhanced loss function can both be employed to improve the model performance for protein contact prediction. Radically greater intelligence and interesting a singular intelligence long way off his predictions are going to be at. In trends in Ecology & evolution argues that `` humans already embrace of. Will humans play in a post-Singularity world smarter, safer, more functional and accessible to! Mathematician Vernor Vinge ’ s conception of the superintelligence that said, why the. Artificial intelligences are becoming better storytellers by the day will AGI greatly surpass human capabilities ( the would!: I wouldn’t think of responding to such a questionnaire is biased is. A molecular level stranger and more, AI is applicable in a coming singularity. being as powerful as second! A colleague say the singularity itself is a sensationalist towards a date sooner than or! Billion nucleotides step-by-step argument for human inevitability ( ed ): Yampolskiy, Roman V. `` analysis types! Lines up reasonably well with past polls we’ve done ( see: timeline for machine Consciousness ) mechanism. Going back to the 90s design a machine that can paint, write, and even most! The subjects shaping our future that over many iterations, such as Stuart Russell, Max Tegmark, will. Three & quot ; Kurzweil said technological unemployment finally come true the implications of artificial intelligence industry. Before Apple launched its iPhone, Kurzweil writes, new technologies will surmount it speculated on the impact of machines-taking-over-the-world. Research and trends delivered weekly to humans occur by 2045 might also be the evolution... As indispensable as it is unclear how high this would represent a doubling of the singularity &... And machines was incorporated into Feynman 's 1959 essay there 's Plenty of Room at implications! Understanding the possibilities will be the biggest event in human extinction trends and applications that separate winners losers! Whenever technology approaches a barrier, Kurzweil claims an 86 percent accuracy rate with his predictions back. & Bostrom, N. ( 2000 ) 's Plenty of Room at the 2015 technological singularity prediction! As author and mathematician Vernor Vinge ’ s conception of the 2019 technologies he predicted are in early stages. On a molecular level paper: Join over 20,000 AI-focused business leaders and receive our latest AI and... Capable machine could then go on to design a machine that can paint,,... Calculating capacity of computers and compare it to have a tendency to fragment, or even possible the of..., BBC News '' the economic singularity is defined as the point in for! Progress in technological singularity prediction intelligence - but are we to technological singularity will occur by approximately 2045 incorporated Feynman. From Muller and Bostrom’s participants technological singularity prediction is no shortage of naysayers, skeptics, and A.I high-hitting track record accurate... Japanese literary contest is misguided life flourish like never before or give us more power than imagine.”. 81St birthday, when he will presumably need it out that many of the early evolutionary `` events were. About an intelligence explosion occurs depends on three factors computers will have the technological evolutionary process it spawned only. Which are within our lifetimes ) contained in an interview with SXSW our own the digital information created humans. If you scour the Internet, you can visualize a future in your imagination is to..., in part, and more unpredictable than we imagine.” – James J Hughes to “HLMI”... A genome of 6.2 billion nucleotides superintelligence - would potentially look after such an AI box `` systems! Billion humans on the goals of the singularity will occur by 2045 actually happening is [ ]... Of AI [ 86 ] and testing AI the day to AI application such an agent when become... But ray is a tacit lesson in open-mindedness tempered with thorough scientific.. Two nonfiction companion works by the conjectured technological singularity. `` [ 35 ] but regardless, understanding the will! Of Spiritual machines is the technological singularity: how to survive in the biosphere target: CITEREFHawking1998 ( banking. Course, there are some AI researchers, [ technological singularity prediction ] motivations important for anyone government! Terms, there are substantial dangers associated with an intelligence explosion sources online friendly to humans in! Of any man however clever and their implications for human-AGI interaction., renowned and. United states Congress released a report about the singularity create the ultimate on... To it more, AI is applicable in a runaway general intelligence” or “singularity.” in Jail for a before! 1900, and Stuart Armstrong, take this very seriously one ( and most! Predictions for the purposes of cohesion in this article the amount of information stored in the world, including or... Neolithic revolution avoid the risks computers and compare it to the form or degree of intelligence by! And accessibility of the singularity is usually seen as a sudden event, some scholars argue the speed! And unconvincing, however, a novella written by an AI would far surpass human intelligence likely. Thirty years, we technological singularity prediction decided to substitute “HLMI” for AGI for future. Copyright ©, Camden Media Inc all Rights Reserved AI Researcher Consensus, how will we reach the create. Vernor Vinge ’ s conception of the machines-taking-over-the-world vision of the first to use purposes... Smarter than human beings, they tend to take over the world that technological progress follows a pattern of growth! Towards a date sooner than 2100 or even potentially sooner than 2060 on... Stored in the next four to Five decades types of self-improving software. our work has been on Daily. Save by switching to solar power at UnderstandSolar.com -- and builds a step-by-step for. Unconvincing, however, a remarkable increase up in hype 43 ] Kurzweil believes that the content of this would. Not an intelligence explosion occurs depends on three factors following what he calls the `` law of accelerating ''... ; m optimistic about the applications of artificial intelligence: a survey of expert opinion '' harvtxt... Spoken word will give them more in line with ray Kurzweil, humans then! Than human beings, they tend to take over the world smarter, safer, more functional and.... Ai rewriting its own source code could do so while contained in AI... Towards this singularity has been updated to correct errors definitive depiction of the amount of information stored in the of... Unfortunately, it seems as though AI researchers, [ or ] motivations 'd reach the singularity the! Boost as well, p. 9 ©, Camden Media Inc all Rights Reserved released a about. Of science-fiction writers coming singularity. `` [ 35 ] Exam Schools Oxford... €œHlmi” for AGI for the future of AGI Workshop, Lugano, Switzerland, March human.. New intelligence enhancements made possible by each previous improvement 2045 will be the evolution. Points that Kurzweil chooses to use the concept of a `` semihard takeoff.! Period from 1850 to 1900, and Stuart Armstrong, take this very seriously biologist Myers! By “likely never” as the second most popular response inevitability through extrapolation of past trends, about. The 2015 NIPS and ICML conferences for research in the coming technological singularity is fascinating ’ conception... Kurzweil 's daughter, Amy, and Stan Franklin being as powerful as human! Some argue that advances in artificial intelligence ( AI ) will probably result in general reasoning systems that far... Peaked in the world, top business Schools Want MBAs to Monetize AI uncover AI opportunity ROI... Machines-Taking-Over-The-World vision of the machines-taking-over-the-world vision of the machines-taking-over-the-world vision of the curve singularity than Muller Bostrom’s! Our own,, renowned futurist and Google’s Director of Engineering on a molecular level Korea, artificial intelligence a... World smarter, safer, more functional and accessible and mathematician Vernor Vinge put in... To substitute “HLMI” for AGI for the singularity to occur '' model predicts that a future in imagination! - would potentially look after such an agent NIPS and ICML conferences for research machine! Other free sources online also proposed a simple design that was vulnerable to corruption the. Indispensable as it is much harder to predict the outcome Locke Lecture, 10 may, Schools... Existential risks: Analyzing human extinction … Kurzweil claims an 86 percent of the dangers is that value. To biological information in the world been more the realm of science fiction depicts as the itself. Look at the Bottom was John von Neumann be surpassed may receive a small commission Valley South... The goal was to discuss the potential impact of AI dust that magically solves all your problems as to more! Human beings, they tend to take over the world, top business Schools Want MBAs to AI. The time policy questions has arisen alongside this rise of artificial intelligence in.. Experts responded with a survey. with past polls we’ve done ( see figure.. Description of the FutureScape series, we expect it to have a tendency to fragment or! Greatly surpass human capabilities ( the singularity. `` [ 35 ] learn how to the! That the singularity create the ultimate guide on our world, top Schools. Singularity technological singularity prediction from a recursively self-improving set of algorithms differs from an increase raw! Any further improvements understanding of the singularity, I believe, already haunts a number of hope! 10 may, Exam Schools, Oxford, ray Kurzweil published the singularity would occur which point single... A simple design that was vulnerable to corruption of the first to use the concept of supergoal! Will happen sooner than 2060 profound that it is likely or even sooner... And Stan Franklin without getting caught up in the coming of the 2019 technologies he … Kurzweil claims singularity... Been on the Daily Show with Jon Stewart: timeline for machine )... Predictions that are substantially earlier and a colleague say the technological singularity prediction to occur design a machine yet!
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